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Calendar
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| Week Nov 15 to Nov 21, 2009
Previous
| | Mon, Nov 16 | 8:30 am | Retail Sales ES cens advance . full . pdf . time series for Oct [ 1.4 percent ] |
| Mon, Nov 16 | 8:30 am | Empire Manufacturing for Nov [ 23.51 ] |
| Mon, Nov 16 | 10 am | Business Inventories (mtis) ES . us census . data for Sep [ -0.4 percent ] |
| Tue, Nov 17 | 8:30 am | PPI (Producer Price Index). PPI ES col 1 Core PPI ES col 2 Source: bls for Oct [ 0.3 percent ] |
| Tue, Nov 17 | 9 am | Net Long-term TIC Flows for Sep [ 40.7 bil$ ] |
| Tue, Nov 17 | 9:15 am | Capacity Utilization sa ES Fed fed for Oct [ 70.7 percent ] |
| Tue, Nov 17 | 9:15 am | Industrial Production sa ES Fed fed for Oct [ 0.1 percent ] |
| Wed, Nov 18 | 8:30 am | Housing Starts ES
Builing Permits ES census | pdf | xls | index for Oct |
| Wed, Nov 18 | 8:30 am | CPI (Consumer Price Index). Source : Bureau of Labor Statistics. CPI ES (col 1) Core CPI ES (col 6) Source: bls for Oct |
| Wed, Nov 18 | 10:30 am | Crude Inventories eia | eia txt ES for Week: Sat Nov 7 to Fri Nov 13 |
| Thu, Nov 19 | 8:30 am | Initial Claims ES dol (db) for Week: Sun Nov 8 to Sat Nov 14 |
| Thu, Nov 19 | 8:30 am | Continuing Claims for Week: Sat Nov 7 to Fri Nov 13 |
| Thu, Nov 19 | 10 am | Leading Indicators for Oct |
| Thu, Nov 19 | 10 am | Phil Fed Bus Outook NE FED for Nov |
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| Week Nov 22 to Nov 28, 2009
Previous
| | Mon, Nov 23 | 10 am | Existing Home Sales nar > data for Oct |
| Tue, Nov 24 | 8:30 am | GDP - Preliminary for qIII |
| Tue, Nov 24 | 8:30 am | GDP Deflator - Preliminary for qIII |
| Tue, Nov 24 | 9 am | Case Shiller 20 City Index for Sep |
| Tue, Nov 24 | 9 am | Consumer Confidence es > conference board . Source : The Conference Board, DRI-WEFA ES for Nov |
| Wed, Nov 25 | 8:30 am | Personal Income ES bea
Personal Savings Rate ES bea for Oct |
| Wed, Nov 25 | 8:30 am | Personal Spending (pce) ES saar | chained bea for Oct |
| Wed, Nov 25 | 8:30 am | PCE Prices for Oct |
| Wed, Nov 25 | 8:30 am | PCE Prices - Core for Oct |
| Wed, Nov 25 | 8:30 am | Initial Claims ES dol (db) for Nov 21 |
| Wed, Nov 25 | 8:30 am | Continuing Claims for Nov 14 |
| Wed, Nov 25 | 8:30 am | Durable Orders (Durable Goods) ES US census for Oct |
| Wed, Nov 25 | 8:30 am | Durable Orders (Durable Goods) ES US census ex Transportation for Oct |
| Wed, Nov 25 | 9:55 am | Mich Sentiment-Rev for Nov |
| Wed, Nov 25 | 10 am | New Home (house) Sales census for Oct |
| Wed, Nov 25 | 10:30 am | Crude Inventories eia | eia txt ES for Week: Sat Nov 14 to Fri Nov 20 |
Links
Your Title IX dollars at work.
Gary Becker blog
Grant's Interest Rate Observer
AEA RFE see Contents
Macroeconomic Advisers, LLC
RAND
NERA see International Finance & Treasury
MacroEcon LLC
Morgan Stanley Global Economic Forum
Stalinist Insult Generator www.nk-news.net
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China
Bank of China (BOC) | statistics
National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) | monthly | quarterly | yearly
| China GDP | 2008 qi | 2008 qii | 2008 qiii | 2008 qiv | 2009 qi | 2009 qii | 2009 qiii | 2009 qiv | 2010 qi
| | china GDP real | pct chg yoy | 10.6 | 10.1 | 9.0 | 6.8 | 6.1 | 7.9 | | |
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Source: China's National Statistics Bureau (NSB)
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| | 2009
| | China Ind Prod | units | Feb | march | april | may | june | july | aug | sept | oct
| | Industrial Production (IP) | pct chg yoy | 11.0 | 8.3 | 7.3 | 8.9 | 10.7 | 10.8 | 12.3 | 13.9 | 16.1
| | Retail Sales | pct chg yoy | 11.6 | 14.7 | 14.8 | 15.2 | 15.0 | 15.2 | 15.4 | 15.5 | 14.9
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| | China PMI | units | Feb | march | april | may | june | july | aug | sept | oct
| | PMI overall purchasing managers index | index | | 52.4 | 53.5 | 53.1 | 53.2 | 53.3 | 54.0 | 54.3 | 55.2
| | PMI output index | index | | 56.9 | 57.4 | 56.9 | 57.1 | 57.1 | 57.9 | 58.0 |
| | PMI new orders | index | | 54.6 | 56.6 | 56.2 | 55.5 | 55.5 | 56.3 | 56.8 |
| | PMI prodn index | index | | | | | | | | | 59.3
| | PMI new export orders Index | index | | | | | | 52.1 | 52.1 | 53.3 | 54.5
| | PMI import Index | index | | | | | | 50.5 | 51.3 | | 52.8
| | PMI Purchasing Price Index | index | | 48.3 | 51.3 | 53.1 | 57.8 | 59.9 | 62.6 | 57.5 |
| | PMI employment index | index | | 48.6 | 50.3 | | | | | |
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Source: China Federation of Logistics and Purchasing (CFLP)
Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI)of China's manufacturing sector.
A reading of above 50 suggests expansion.
Generally announced on first day following end of month.
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Japan
Bank of Japan (BOJ)
sdds | tankan | MOF
M | Monthly Econ Rpt | Cabinet Office ( Japan GDP )
gdp | ind prod | interest rates
| Bank of Japan Target Overnight Call Rate
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| EconStats Forecasts made 20091025
| | Oct 30, 2009: | 0.10 |
| | Nov 20, 2009: | 0.10 |
| | Dec 18, 2009: | 0.10 |
| | Jan 26, 2010: | 0.10 |
| | Feb 18, 2010: | 0.10 |
| | Mar 17, 2010: | 0.25 |
| | Apr 7, 2010: | 0.25 |
| | Apr 27, 2010: | 0.25 |
| | May 21, 2010: | 0.25 |
| | Jun 15, 2010: | 0.25 | | |
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Japan GDP - real seasonally adjusted
| | q/q | q/q annzd | yoy | mil 2005 yen
| | year | quarter | pct | pct | pct | seas adj annualized
| | 2007 | 3 | -0.32 | -1.21 | 1.08 | 558875
| | 2007 | 4 | 0.84 | 0.84 | 0.42 | 563581
| | 2008 | 1 | 0.86 | 5.42 | 1.73 | 568445
| | 2008 | 2 | -0.72 | -3.73 | 0.32 | 564369
| | 2008 | 3 | -1.30 | 0.47 | 0.70 | 557046
| | 2008 | 4 | -3.37 | -2.90 | -0.29 | 538276
| | 2009 | 1 | -3.27 | -4.61 | -2.79 | 520680
| | 2009 | 2 | 0.56 | 3.03 | -1.07 | 523603
| Source: Japan Cabinet Office ( Japan GDP ) |
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European Union
Germany Bundesanstalt für Finanzdienstleistungsaufsicht (BaFin)
India
United Kingdom
Russia
France
Brazil
Italy
Mexico
Korea
Canada
Turkey
Indonesia
Iran
Australia
Taiwan
Netherlands
Poland
Saudi Arabia
Argentina
Thailand
South Africa
Egypt
World Bank World Development Indicators WDI & GDI
International Monetary Fund ( IMF ) IFS | WEO
United Nations ( UN )
Food and Agriculture Organization ( FAO ) | statistics
EQUITY INDICES (stock markets)
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| Percent Change Over Year
| Volatility
| Correlation of Daily Returns 2009 ytd
| | 1993 | 1994 | 1995 | 1996 | 1997 | 1998 | 1999 | 2000 | 2001 | 2002 | 2003 | 2004 | 2005 | 2006 | 2007 | 2008 | 2009 | ytd | daily 2009 Std Dev | w sp500d | w sp500 d-1 | w nikkeid | w ftsed
| | US | DJIA | Dow Jones Industrial Average - 30 stocks | 13.7 | 2.1 | 33.5 | 26.0 | 22.6 | 16.1 | 25.2 | -6.2 | -7.1 | -16.8 | 25.3 | 3.1 | -0.6 | 16.3 | 6.4 | -33.8 | 14.2 | Nov 6 2009 | 1.62 | 0.99 | -0.12 | 0.12 | 0.65
| | US | SP500 | S&P 500 (large cap) | 7.1 | -1.5 | 34.1 | 20.3 | 31.0 | 26.7 | 19.5 | -10.1 | -13.0 | -23.4 | 26.4 | 9.0 | 3.0 | 13.6 | 3.5 | -38.5 | 18.4 | Nov 6 2009 | 1.83 | 1.00 | -0.11 | 0.09 | 0.63
| | US | SP500_div | S&P 500 total rtn (incldg dividends) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 5.5 | -37.0 | 20.9 | Nov 6 2009 | 1.86 | 0.98 | -0.10 | 0.10 | 0.64
| | Argentina | MerVal | MerVal | | | | | 5.9 | -37.4 | 28.0 | -24.3 | -29.1 | 77.7 | 104.2 | 28.3 | 12.2 | 35.5 | 2.9 | -49.8 | 112.6 | Nov 5 2009 | 2.32 | 0.78 | 0.07 | 0.10 | 0.63
| | Brazil | Bovespa | Bovespa | | 1059.5 | -1.3 | 63.8 | -85.5 | -33.5 | 151.9 | -10.7 | -11.0 | -17.0 | 97.3 | 17.8 | 27.7 | 32.9 | 43.6 | -41.2 | 73.3 | Nov 5 2009 | 2.01 | 0.83 | -0.04 | 0.10 | 0.66
| | United Kingdom | FTSE 100 | FTSE 100 Financial Times | 20.1 | -10.3 | 20.3 | 11.6 | 24.7 | 14.5 | 17.8 | -10.2 | -16.2 | -24.5 | 13.6 | 7.5 | 16.7 | 10.7 | 3.8 | -31.3 | 18.2 | Nov 5 2009 | 1.88 | 0.63 | 0.10 | 0.23 | 1.00
| | Germany | DAX 30 | DAX 30-Deutscher Aktienindex | 46.7 | -7.1 | 7.0 | 28.2 | 46.2 | 18.4 | 39.1 | -7.5 | -19.8 | -43.9 | 37.1 | 7.3 | 27.1 | 22.0 | 22.3 | -40.4 | 14.1 | Nov 6 2009 | 1.86 | 0.71 | 0.10 | 0.21 | 0.87
| | France | CAC 40 | CAC 40 | 22.1 | -17.1 | -0.5 | 23.7 | 29.5 | 31.5 | 51.1 | -0.5 | -22.0 | -33.7 | 16.1 | 7.4 | 23.4 | 17.5 | 1.3 | -42.7 | 1.8 | Nov 6 2009 | 2.13 | 0.69 | 0.11 | 0.30 | 0.92
| | Japan | Nikkei 225 | Nikkei 225 Nihon Keizai Shimbun Inc | 2.9 | 13.2 | 0.7 | -2.6 | -21.2 | -9.3 | 36.8 | -27.2 | -23.5 | -18.6 | 24.5 | 7.6 | 40.2 | 6.9 | -11.1 | -42.1 | 16.1 | Nov 5 2009 | 1.83 | 0.09 | 0.62 | 1.00 | 0.23
| | Hong Kong | Hang Seng | Hang Seng HKSE | 115.7 | -31.1 | 23.0 | 33.5 | -20.3 | -6.3 | 68.8 | -11.0 | -24.5 | -18.2 | 34.9 | 13.2 | 4.5 | 34.2 | 39.3 | -48.3 | 57.0 | Nov 5 2009 | 2.16 | 0.27 | 0.47 | 0.64 | 0.45
| | China | Shenzhen B | Shenzhen B shares | | | | | | | | | 92.9 | -29.6 | 45.5 | -19.2 | -11.0 | 121.5 | 63.8 | -61.8 | 101.6 | Nov 5 2009 | 1.85 | 0.14 | 0.22 | 0.30 | 0.18
| | India | Nifty 50 Ca | S&P CNX Nifty Fifty Calcutta | | | | | | | | | | | 71.9 | 10.7 | 36.3 | 39.8 | 54.8 | -51.8 | 68.9 | Nov 5 2009 | 2.39 | 0.35 | 0.19 | 0.25 | 0.44
| | Global | SP1200 glob | S&P Global 1200 | | | | | | | | | | -21.0 | 30.1 | 12.5 | 7.7 | 18.8 | 7.7 | -41.9 | 23.2 | Nov 5 2009 | 1.62 | 0.92 | 0.08 | 0.28 | 0.78
| | Global | SP1200 glob | S&P Global 1200 Tot Return (w dividends) | | | | | | | | | | -19.6 | 32.9 | 14.9 | 10.2 | 21.5 | 10.2 | -40.1 | 26.5 | Nov 5 2009 | 1.62 | 0.92 | 0.08 | 0.28 | 0.78
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Commodities - Spot
Argus Index - Gulf of Mexico, adopted by OPEC as
standard pricing index, beginning 2010 January.
Steel Prices - annual
| | scrap steel | rebar
| | | c&f usd/ton | c&f usd/ton
| | 1973 | | 74 | 242
| | 1974 | | 142 | 340
| | 1975 | | 108 | 210
| | 1976 | | 90 | 214
| | 1977 | | 74 | 190
| | 1978 | | 84 | 254
| | 1979 | | 134 | 338
| | 1980 | | 130 | 304
| | 1981 | | 108 | 250
| | 1982 | | 96 | 216
| | 1983 | | 86 | 200
| | 1984 | | 110 | 210
| | 1985 | | 108 | 206
| | 1986 | | 92 | 212
| | 1987 | | 98 | 206
| | 1988 | | 156 | 286
| | 1989 | | 158 | 312
| | 1990 | | 148 | 292
| | 1991 | | 136 | 276
| | 1992 | | 118 | 258
| | 1993 | | 136 | 284
| | 1994 | | 150 | 292
| | 1995 | | 168 | 298
| | 1996 | | 156 | 290
| | 1997 | | 144 | 298
| | 1998 | | 84 | 200
| | 1999 | | 82 | 222
| | 2000 | | 92 | 218
| | 2001 | | 84 | 210
| | 2002 | | 110 | 248
| | 2003 | | 156 | 316
| | 2004 | | 248 | 452
| | 2005 | | 206 | 410
| | 2006 | | 264 | 510
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| | 2007 Sept | | 336 | 622
| Sources: econstats and bls, print media (nyt wash post wsj ft, etc), etc.
rebar=reinforcing steel bar of various gauges.
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